Home Prices May Still Be Too High
Adjusted for inflation, housing prices are still 15 percent to 20 percent higher than they were in the mid-1990s, calculates housing economist Dean Baker, co-director of the nonpartisan Center for Economic and Policy Research.
“There’s no plausible fundamental explanation for that,” he says.
Baker believes economic fundamentals translate to a weak recovery at best. “People who say this is a temporary story, there’s no real reason to believe anything like that,” he says. “If anything, I expect housing to be weaker than normal rather than stronger over the next decade.”
Baker is opposed to the housing tax credit.
“As a matter of policy I can’t see that we want people to buy a house in 2009 that’s 10-20 percent higher than it would sell for in 2011,” he says. “In so far as the FHA was encouraging people to buy homes in bubble markets that were not deflated, that’s not good for the FHA and you didn’t help the home owner. We didn’t do those people a favor.”
Source: Bloomberg News, Nick Timiraos (01/26/2010)
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Fight Inflation: Buy a Home!
Some economic analysts say that the possibility that the economy will go into overdrive and inflation will skyrocket is a much more frightening possibility than the current recession.
One inflation hedge nearly all of them point to is real estate. Owning it outright is the best scenario, but if that’s not possible, a low-rate, 30-year fixed mortgage is the next best thing. As inflation drives up salaries, mortgage payments will stay the same, analysts point out.
Source: USA Today, John Waggoner (04/24/2009)
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The danger of keeping rates at zero
By Paul R. La Monica, CNNMoney.com editor at large
Last Updated: January 13, 2009: 1:28 PM ET
About the author
But I’m starting to worry a bit that the Federal Reserve is willing to leave rates this low for too long and that this could spark inflation down the road.
In a speech in London Tuesday morning, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke defended the Fed’s series of rate cuts since September 2007, saying that inflation was no longer a major concern. The Fed usually raises interest rates when it is worried about inflation.