A New Way to Look at Mortgage Risk
Denver-based BlackBox Logic has developed a database of more than 21 million mortgages not backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or other government-sponsored agencies.
The upstart scrutinizes raw loan data from trustees and issuers, flagging such information as whether a borrower is behind on payments or has a modification. It then blends that loan information with other databases that provide a credit score for the borrower and an estimate of residential value.
BlackBox says it offers its data to the average user at half the cost of FirstAmerican Core Logic’s Loan Performance, the industry’s leading player.
Source: Denver Post, Aldo Svaldi (02/10/2010)
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White House Props Up Fannie and Freddie
More than a year after the global financial meltdown, Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac remain at the center of the U.S. government’s efforts to keep real estate afloat. So far, the government has given the two companies a total of nearly $111 billion to buy mortgages originated by others, keeping some as investments and repackaging other for sale to investors as securities.
Together, Fannie and Freddie fund 90 percent of U.S. mortgages. They also have reignited lending by state and local housing-finance agencies by guaranteeing $24 billion in debt. And they are supporting the apartment sector by lending to builders and buyers.
The situation is unlikely to change soon because by relying on Fannie and Freddie, Obama can bypass Congress. The government is “running Fannie and Freddie as an instrument of national economic policy, not as a business,” says Daniel Mudd, who was forced out as Fannie Mae’s CEO in September 2008 when the government took control.
Assistant Treasury Secretary Michael Barr defends the status quo, saying that Fannie and Freddie are “owned by the taxpayers in the middle of the biggest housing crisis in 80 years” and the administration’s actions have been “prudent” and “consistent with taxpayer protection.”
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Nick Timiraos and James R.
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More Borrowers Lower Mortgages With Refis
In the fourth quarter of 2009, 33 percent of borrowers refinanced their loans and in the process, lowered the principal balance, Freddie Mac reported in its quarterly Refinance Report.
That’s the highest cash-in refinance share since Freddie Mac began tracking refinance transactions in 1985.
The share of borrowers who increased their loan balances by 5 percent or more during the fourth quarter was at a record low of 27 percent. From September of 2008 to November 2009, consumers cut $100 billion in revolving debt from their obligations, according to the Federal Reserve Board.
Source: Freddie Mac (01/26/2010)
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Option-ARM Borrowers Facing Resets
About 93 percent of option-ARM buyers chose to pay a minimum amount less than the interest due, according to a report released last week by Standard & Poors. That means that nearly all of the 350,000 option-ARM borrowers now owe more than they owed when they first purchased their homes.
Many of these loans were written in 2004 and are close to their five-year reset when the loans convert to a standard amortization. Some more recent loans will reset early if the accumulated interest has pushed the loan-to-value ratio above 110 percent.
In one example outlined in the S&P report, the payment on a $400,000 mortgage goes from $1,287 to $2,593.
The authors of the report say that many ARM borrowers aren’t good candidates for refinancing or modification because their loan-to-value ratios are too high for the government’s Making Home Affordable program. Also, about 80 percent of option-ARM loans were stated-income loans and borrowers could be held legally liable for deliberate inaccuracies on their original applications.
Source: CNNMoney.com, Les Christie (11/26/2009)
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Banks Plan to Keep Lending Tight
Banks tightened standards for all types of loans in the second quarter, the Federal Reserve reported Monday.
About 35 percent of senior loan officials said they tightened standards somewhat and none of the 51 responding banks said they loosened standards for prime mortgages. The rest said their standards for mortgages remained the same or were substantially stronger.
Banks also told the Fed that they expected to maintain strict lending standards until at least the second half of 2010.
“Most banks have woken up to the fact that there is a lot more risk in their loan books than they ever thought possible,” says Joel Conn, president of Lakeshore Capital LLC in Birmingham, Ala. That has caused many banks to reconsider their requirements for future lending, Conn says.
Source: Bloomberg, Craig Torres (08/17/2009)
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Fed Will Keep Key Rates Low
When the Federal Reserve ends its meeting on Wednesday afternoon, it is almost certain to leave the key rate at or near zero and pledge to hold it there.
That makes it likely mortgages will stay historically low and rates on home-equity and other consumer loans will hug 3 percent.
But it is unclear whether the Fed will continue some programs that have kept mortgages and other consumer debt even lower than the market might expect. One such program involves buying U.S. Treasurys. The Fed is set to buy $300 billion worth of Treasury bonds by the fall. It has bought $235 billion already this year.
“I think they’ll let it expire. It seems the mood turned against Treasury purchases in the last couple of months, and there’s been some skepticism whether it has worked in bringing rates down,” says Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan Economics.
Source: The Associated Press, Jeannine Aversa (08/11/2009)
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Truth in Lending;changes take effect July 30, 2009
Lenders will be subject to new disclosure requirements for mortgage loans under the Federal Reserve Board Truth in Lending Regulation (Reg Z). The new requirements apply to loan applications filed on or after July 30, 2009.
The new rules are complex and compliance will be a challenge for lenders. REALTORS® will want to learn the basics so they can advise clients of potential delays and the new procedures.
Here are key highlights of the changes:
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Home Lending Rates Falling Again
Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages fell to 5.14 percent for the week ended July 16, down from 5.20 percent a week before and 6.26 percent a year earlier, Freddie Mac reports.
Interest on fixed home loans has fallen in four of the past five weeks, and Freddie Mac economist Frank Nothaft says rate activity during that time has lowered the monthly payment on a $200,000 loan by $56.
Here’s a look at how other mortgage rates performed this week:
* 15-year fixed loans fell to 4.63 percent from 4.69 percent.
* One-year adjustable-rate mortgages fell to 4.76 percent from 4.82 percent.
* Five-year hybrid ARMs bumped up a notch to 4.83 percent from 4.82 percent.
Source: Grand Junction Free Press, Wyatt Haupt Jr. (07/17/09)
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U.S. to Offer Incentives to Modify Seconds
The Obama administration is announcing incentives today for mortgages servicers to modify home equity loans and other second mortgages.
Servicers must agree to modify second mortgages when the first mortgage has been modified. They must extend the term of the second mortgage and match the rate of the first mortgage. Then the government will share the cost with the servicer of cutting the rate to 1 percent for amortizing loans and 2 percent for interest-only loans.
Under the program, the government will pay mortgage servicers $500 upfront and $250 a year for three years for the modifications. Borrowers will receive payments of up to $250 a year for five years if they stay current on the modified loan.
There will also be a schedule of incentives for holders of second liens to drop their claims altogether.
The Department of Housing and Urban Development and Treasury will make the announcement jointly.
Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and JPMorgan Chase have already agreed to participate in the program.
A separate announcement will include changes to the Hope for Homeowners program, which helps homeowners refinance into more affordable government-backed loans. To get this program moving, the administration is announcing a $2,500 upfront payment to servicers. Lenders will receive $1,000 a year for three years if the loan stays current.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Jessica Holzer (04/28/2009)
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One reason you can’t get a mortgage. Residential sales are cratering,
which is making it more difficult to appraise homes. And that is making mortgages more difficult to obtain.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — For real estate appraisers, determining what a house is worth has become increasingly difficult, which is making it even harder for buyers to purchase homes or for homeowners to refinance.
The main tool in the appraiser’s kit is the sale prices of homes in the area. If they can find similar houses nearby in similar condition that sold recently for, say, $300,000, they can assume that the home they are appraising is worth a comparable amount.
But with sales volume falling, there are fewer homes with which to compare. In fact, sales of new homes crashed in January to the lowest level in 45 years, and existing home sales fell to a 12-year low.
And even when there are recent sales figures, they often don’t hold up as a reliable baseline. Appraisals are estimates of market value at a given time, and with prices in free fall, values “age” quickly. Full Story.
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‘Produce the note’ has not had big local impact.
It’s almost one of those things that’s too easy to be true – staving off home foreclosure by simply demanding that your lender produce the original note.
As the economy goes down foreclosures go up. Hard-working people are finding themselves being forced out of their home when they can’t make their mortgage payments. But one simple request to a lender has in many cases slowed down the foreclosure process and given some homeowners a little breathing room.
It’s a little trick that goes back to the heart of how this whole banking mess got started.
During the real estate frenzy of the past decade, mortgages were sold and resold, bundled into securities and peddled to investors. In many cases, the original note signed by the homeowner was lost, stored away in a distant warehouse or destroyed, according to the Associated Press. Full Story.
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Fannie taps lifeline after $59B in losses.
Mortgage finance company reports $25 billion quarterly loss and receives $15 billion from the Treasury Department.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Hammered by the ailing housing market, mortgage finance giant Fannie Mae said Thursday it would tap its lifeline from the Treasury Department after reporting $58.7 billion in losses for 2008.
The company, a crucial source of funding for mortgage lenders, said it would draw down $15.2 billion of its $200 billion federal line of credit. In return, the government will receive preferred shares. MORE.
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Citi Bank: Mortgage break to unemployed.
The bank will lower mortgage payments for three months and waive fees for certain unemployed borrowers.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Unemployed homeowners whose houses are financed by CitiMortgage may be eligible to have their mortgages temporarily reduced to $500 a month, the company announced Tuesday.
“We’re planning to help recently unemployed homeowners by giving them the ability to pay as little as $500 a month on their mortgage, which is effectively less than the price of an average one-bedroom rental nationally,” Sanjiv Das, CitiMortgage’s president and CEO, told CNN Radio. More Info
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Obama pledges mortgage help.
WASHINGTON (REUTERS) — U.S. President Barack Obama promised Saturday to help lower Americans’ mortgage costs with a new plan, coming soon, that would revive the financial system and “get credit flowing again.”
Obama, who has made fighting the country’s economic and financial crises the top priority of his young administration, called on the U.S. Senate to approve an economic stimulus bill that the House of Representatives passed this week. Full story.
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3 things sellers must know about Short sales.
Underwater on your mortgage? A short sale may be an option, but you first have to convince the bank to erase part of your debt – and your credit will still suffer.
1. You have to prove hardship.
To get the lender to forgive the balance of your mortgage, you’ll have to prove that you [...]
The real story.
CNNMoney: Credit 2008: Year of the freeze
If the story of 2008 was the government’s unprecedented multi-trillion dollar bailouts of the financial sector, then the credit market was the story behind the story.
The issue of credit moved to the forefront in the past year, as the typically benign market exploded into crisis-mode, and nervous investors bought up historical amounts of safe government debt. It was a year of violent changes in borrowing rates and lending behavior, guided by countless government programs aimed at easing credit for corporate America, banks and consumers.
The so-called credit crunch began after the subprime meltdown of late 2007. High-risk loans on banks’ balance sheets became almost worthless, and as banks were forced to take large writedowns on these so-called “toxic assets,” they became less likely to lend, unwilling to take on more risk.
For much of the year, financial institutions were in a quandary. They had difficulty acquiring loans and at the same time resisted issuing loans. The credit crunch made everything from financing payrolls to getting car, student and home loans difficult for businesses and borrowers.
Then, after the credit situation started to improve somewhat in the summer, Lehman Brothers’ epic collapse on Sept. 15 marked a stunning turning point in the financial markets from which Wall Street is still recovering.
Within two days, overnight Libor, a key interbank lending rate, soared to an 8-month high of 3.06%. Within a week, the market for commercial paper, a key form of business lending, had shrunk to a 2-1/2 year low of $1.7 trillion. And within 10-days, two key measures of risk sentiment – the Libor-OIS spread and the TED spread – were at all-time highs.
However, as the year comes to a close, there are signs that the credit environment has been slowly improving.
Borrowing rates fell from historical highs to all-time lows: the 3-month Libor has dropped from a 2008 high of 4.82% to 1.42% on Dec. 31. And the overnight Libor rate has plunged from an all-time high of 6.88% on Sept. 30 to 0.14% at the end of the year – just 0.03 percentage points higher than the all-time low set a week ago.
Meanwhile, the “TED spread,” a measure of banks’ willingness to lend, slipped to 1.34 percentage points Wednesday – below where the measure stood just before Lehman’s collapse.
But most economists believe it’s still a long road to recovery. Though many of the bailouts have reduced borrowing and costs, all the lending facilities and liquidity programs in the world won’t encourage private lending on their own. Many have said the Fed can only push on a string.
Alan Greenspan, the former Fed chief, has said that we will know the credit markets have returned to normal when the Libor-OIS spread returns to just a hair above the anticipated Fed funds rate. That will show that banks are confident about the market conditions and have resumed normal lending practices. Libor-OIS was less than 0.8 percentage points before Lehman collapsed. It reached a record high of 3.64 percentage points on Oct. 10, and sits at 1.24 today. So according to Greenspan, we’re a little more than halfway to recovery.
Mortgages…now what??
Mortgage rates tumble to record low
Refinancing activity rises to highest level since boom year of 2003
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Rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell to a record low for the second straight week, causing refinancing applications to surge to the highest level in more than five years, a month after the Federal Reserve pledged to channel billions to prop up the sinking U.S. housing market. While homeowners around the country are taking advantage of historically low rates to refinance their loans, the opportunity isn’t available to those with poor credit or little equity in their homes, and foreclosures are still likely to surge. |
